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Affected by factors such as the disappointing US non-farm payrolls, the probability of the Fed lowering interest rates in September has surged to 80.3%.
On August 3, this week, the U.S. added only 73,000 non-farm jobs in July, far below expectations, and the data for May and June was significantly revised down. In addition, Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Kuger will resign next week, allowing Trump to appoint a favored candidate in advance. Possibly affected by the above news, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September on the CME "FedWatch" surged to 80.3%. Before the non-farm data, this figure was only 41.3%.