Apple Stock Down 16% In 2025, Analysts Still See Upside Potential

HomeNews* Apple shares have fallen 16% in 2025, marking it as one of the weakest performers among major U.S. technology stocks.

• Production moved from China to India contributed to volatility, but shares have rebounded 5.9% in the past 30 days.
• Q3 2025 earnings will be announced by Apple on July 31, 2025, with analysts expecting a possible beat, according to Nasdaq.
• The company’s valuation is now more attractive for investors, with a declining price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and mixed growth metrics.
• Analyst price targets range from $225 to $300, with Bank of America setting July 2025’s target at $235. Apple stock has dropped 16% so far in 2025, ranking among the lowest performers in the American tech sector. The company faced significant pressure earlier this year from tariff threats, particularly after it moved parts of its production operations to India, despite warnings from President Trump. Shares have partially recovered, climbing 5.9% over the past month.

• Advertisement - Apple is scheduled to report its Q3 2025 earnings after markets close on July 31, 2025. Analysts expect the company may outperform earnings forecasts, with an Earnings Surprise Prediction (ESP) of +4.30%, according to Nasdaq. In the previous quarter, Apple reported $95.4 billion in revenue, an increase of 5% year-over-year, and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.65, up 8% year-over-year.

Current data shows the company’s valuation has become more attractive to some investors. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio fell from 39.37 in Q4 2024 to 32.28 in Q3 2025. Growth numbers are mixed: revenue growth reached 4.91% in Q1 2025, but earnings and free cash flow growth remain negative, indicating ongoing challenges in generating profits.

Analyst outlooks for Apple stock continue to lean positive, with several maintaining ‘Outperform’ ratings. Price targets vary: Tigress Financial forecasts a high of $300, while Baird and Wedbush hold targets near $230. Investment bank Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan notes that Apple now has a forward P/E ratio of about 26.5, slightly below its five-year average of 27.2, and sets a July 2025 price target of $235, suggesting a potential gain from the current share price of around $210.

Recent metrics show that while some company fundamentals are under pressure, many analysts believe there is upside for Apple in the short term. Investors will be watching the upcoming quarterly report for further direction.

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