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Recently, the cryptocurrency market has welcomed some exciting developments. At the beginning of August, two pieces of Favourable Information significantly boosted market sentiment, even pushing the "Fear and Greed Index" towards "Greed". Let us delve into the causes of this market trend and its potential impact on investors.
First of all, the warming expectation of interest rate cuts has become an important factor driving the market. Although the Federal Reserve did not take any action to cut interest rates in July, the market generally expects the possibility of a 0.25% rate cut in September to exceed 80%. This expectation is crucial for the encryption market, as interest rate cuts often mean an increase in market liquidity, which in turn drives up the prices of high-risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. It is worth noting that institutional investors have begun to quietly increase their holdings, a trend that is often seen as a leading indicator of market trends. For ordinary investors, paying attention to and following the overall market trend may be a wise choice.
Secondly, the latest policy direction from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has also injected positive signals into the market. The SEC's "Project Crypto" aims to clarify token classification standards and provide a more lenient regulatory environment for the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector. This initiative is expected to alleviate the regulatory uncertainties that have long plagued the encryption market, creating a more favourable environment for project parties and institutional investors.
With the emergence of these favourable factors, market participants should closely monitor the upcoming US CPI data to be released on August 12. If the inflation data shows signs of cooling, it may further strengthen expectations for interest rate cuts, thereby stimulating the market to strengthen.
Overall, the current encryption market is at a potential turning point. Improvements in the regulatory environment and changes in macroeconomic policies may bring new development opportunities for the market. However, investors still need to act cautiously, weigh risks against rewards, and make informed investment decisions.