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CAGR predicts that Bitcoin may exceed 6.7 million USD by 2035?
More than 10 years ago, market analysis studied the maximum price of Bitcoin (BTC), and currently, the prediction from back then still holds a certain degree of accuracy. According to the charts provided by Bitbo, Bitcoin has shown outstanding actual CAGR performance over multiple 10-year cycles, being the strongest long-term performer among all mainstream asset classes. This article will predict and analyze the future price of Bitcoin based on CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate), looking ahead to the potential price movement of Bitcoin between 2025 and 2035.
1. Future 10-Year (2025–2035) CAGR Forecast Scenario
Base Scenario - Approximately 40% CAGR: ARK Invest predicts that the CAGR of Bitcoin will be approximately 40% by 2030, based on global adoption rates and network activity. If this growth rate is maintained until 2035, its growth multiple will be: (1 + 0.40)^10 ≈ 28 times.
Conservative Scenario - Approximately 30% CAGR: Consistent with the long-term annualized growth rate of 30% proposed by Strategy founder Michael Saylor. The growth multiple after 10 years is: (1 + 0.30)^10 ≈ 13.79 times.
Radical scenario – Over 50% CAGR: In optimistic models from institutions like ARK, Bitcoin is expected to reach a 50% CAGR. The corresponding growth multiple is: (1 + 0.50)^10 ≈ 57 times.
2. Why might CAGR change?
Network effects strengthened: such as the promotion of the Lightning Network and tokenized assets RWA.
Institutional capital inflow: ETFs, pension allocations, etc. will increase market demand.
Scarcity Drive: Bitcoin supply is fixed, and the advantages of scarce assets will become evident in the long term.
3. Risks and Precautions
Bitcoin has experienced multiple price corrections of over 80% in its history.
These predictions are based on long-term growth under ideal conditions, and reality may experience fluctuations.
Global regulations, macro changes, and competitive cryptocurrencies may all cause disruptions.
4. Long-term Forecast Review
Similar predictions have been shared before: The price of Bitcoin will not reach 100,000 USD before 2021, but it will not be later than 2028. After that, the price of Bitcoin will not fall below 100,000 USD. The price of Bitcoin will not reach 1,000,000 USD before 2028, but it will not be later than 2037. After 2037, the price of Bitcoin will not fall below 1,000,000 USD.
Knowledge Encyclopedia: CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)
The formula for calculating CAGR is as follows:
CAGR = ( end value / start value ) ^ ( 1 / number of years ) - 1
Among:
Final value: for example, the price in the last year
Initial value: For example, the price in the first year
Years: Duration of time (unit is "year")
The meaning of CAGR: It indicates what percentage this investment would grow at if it were to grow at the same percentage every year, for example, after 10 years exactly from 30,000, what that percentage would be. It smooths out annual fluctuations and is suitable for long-term comparisons.
Conclusion:
If Bitcoin can maintain an annual compound growth rate of 30–40% in the future, the price could be between 3,300,000 by 2035. If it maintains a 50% CAGR, it is expected to reach a price of $6M+. At the time of this article's publication, the price of BTC was approximately 117,800 USD.