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Many people now have little hope for a bull run, feeling that the macro environment does not support it. For example, the Fed's decision to either lower or not lower interest rates is viewed as unfavourable information; if they do not lower rates, it is seen as tightening, and if they do lower rates, it is said that the economy is about to collapse. Additionally, the uncertainties in China-US trade have left everyone feeling confused.
But how do I see this matter???
First, the Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, which has actually told the market - sooner or later, there will be a cut. This "expectation" itself is favorable information, because the market is always trading on expectations. As long as this expectation exists, the bullish sentiment in the market will have support, and the tone of the bull run will still be there.
Second, the market will react in advance. If there is a high probability of a rate cut in September, funds will enter the market to position themselves ahead of time. By the time the actual rate cut occurs, it may actually be the moment when the favourable information is realized and the sentiment is cleared. So don't wait for the favourable information to materialize before getting in; by then, the market may have already moved significantly.
So, from a macro perspective, you may have already missed this round of market movement. Macroeconomics is essentially just a tool used by the big players to control emotions; the real trend has long been initiated, and by the time you react, you have already missed the launch point.
My current strategy is: not to go against macro trends, nor to be a counterparty to the market makers. Once a trend is established, it won't easily end. Market makers need time to make retail investors repeatedly guess "Is this the bottom?" and at the top, they will also make everyone continuously guess "Has it not yet reached the top?" to slowly fatten the retail investors before cashing out.
Looking at it now, BTC may not be far from the top, but the overall trend is not over, and the market sentiment is still in the hesitation phase of "bounce or reversal." Next, it will be the turn of altcoins to gain momentum, which is still something to look forward to. #打榜优质内容#