#美国经济数据与货币政策# Looking back, I have witnessed the cyclical fluctuations of the Bitcoin market. This analysis from Matrixport reminds me of the seasonal patterns over the years. Indeed, August and September are often periods of weaker performance for Bitcoin. In the past decade, there have only been three occasions where August saw a rise, with an average return rate close to zero, which speaks volumes.

The current market sentiment is optimistic, but key events such as US stock earnings reports, White House reports, and Federal Reserve decisions are approaching. These factors, combined with seasonal influences, are likely to trigger a short-term tactical consolidation. I have experienced similar market turns multiple times, and each time it makes me reflect on the repetitiveness of history.

However, we must also remember that past patterns do not necessarily determine the future. The market is constantly evolving, and new variables can emerge at any time. For long-term investors, this may be a good opportunity to accumulate positions. While reviewing history is certainly important, it is even more crucial to maintain an open mindset and adjust strategies to adapt to the rapidly changing market environment.