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Recently, the crypto assets market has experienced fluctuations again, with PEPE coin dropping by 6.9% within 24 hours, attracting the attention of investors. Data shows that the net capital outflow reached 5.2 billion, holdings continue to decline, and the relative strength index (RSI) is only 2.6, entering the extreme oversold range.
The current price of PEPE is 0.01191, closely touching the lower Bollinger Band. In the short term, investors can focus on rebound opportunities in the range of 0.0116-0.0120. If the price falls below 0.0114, it is recommended to cut losses in a timely manner. The rebound target can be set at 0.0124 (point of control price, POC), with an expected risk-reward ratio of about 2.3:1. However, if there is a significant volume drop below 0.0114, a reverse operation may be considered, following the shorts to 0.0105. It is worth noting that the current funding rate is -0.00011, and the bulls still face the risk of being squeezed.
From the market structure perspective, 0.01239 is the peak volume area and can be considered an important value anchor point. The range of 0.01214-0.01227 is a high trading volume buffer zone, while 0.01051-0.01082 and 0.01459-0.01478 are low trading volume gap areas. Currently, the price is at the bottom of the 70% transaction range (0.0120-0.01396) and is exhibiting an oversold state in the short term.
Momentum analysis shows that the long-short ratio above the price control point (POC) is 47%:53%, with bears still in control. However, in the range of 0.0116-0.0120, buying pressure has rebounded to 55%, indicating initial signs of buying returning. The lower Bollinger Band at 0.01162 and the volume distribution lower limit (VAL) at 0.0120 provide dual support. The 200-day moving average (MA200) is at 0.01305, with the current price deviating by -8.7%, still showing a bearish trend in the medium term. The open interest (OI) has increased by 1.21% within 24 hours, with the long-short ratio rising to 4.53, and short covering in the near term may trigger a rebound.
For investors with different risk appetites, the following strategies can be considered:
1. Aggressive: Build a long position in batches in the range of 0.01170-0.01180, set the stop loss at 0.01140, and target price at 0.01240.
2. Conservative: Wait for the price to pull back to the low range of 0.01082, and then re-enter when a long lower shadow and increased volume signal appear, with a stop loss at 0.01050.
3. Conservative: If the 1-hour K-line closes below 0.01140, you can short it accordingly, with a stop loss at 0.01170 and a target of 0.01050.
Liquidity providers (LP) may consider placing bidirectional orders in the range of 0.01160-0.01240, utilizing the high liquidity area and short-term rebound expectations to generate fee income. However, be cautious of the risk of the price breaking above 0.01240 or falling below 0.01140, and adjust strategies promptly.
The current PEPE coin market shows a high degree of uncertainty. Investors need to closely follow market trends and manage risks appropriately. Regardless of the strategy chosen, adjustments should be made flexibly based on individual risk tolerance and market changes.