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#July Market Forecast#
Bitcoin is sweeping liquidity around the support level of $117,116 and igniting a new rally targeting $120,000.
Ethereum is retesting support at $3500 and is recovering slightly, but bearish concerns remain amid a decline in technical strength.
XRP is facing continuous selling supported by a decline in the Relative Strength Index and a potential sell signal from the MACD indicator.
Cryptocurrencies are facing relatively strong fluctuations on Thursday, especially altcoins, led by Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP). The largest smart contract token is stabilizing at around $3,630, recording a 6% decline from its recent peak of $3,858. XRP continued its drop to a daily low of $2.95 before rising slightly to trade at $3.10 at the time of writing this report.
As for Bitcoin (BTC), it has started to recover from the support at $117,116 on Wednesday, with short-term technical forecasts beginning to lean upwards, thus revising the supply for a breakout above $120,000.
- Today's Plan: Can Bitcoin Break Out After Consolidation?
Bitcoin's price remains above the short-term support level at $118,000, after bouncing back from $117,116. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is currently moving relatively sideways around 52, indicates neutral momentum in the market, suggesting a potential period of consolidation before the next attempt to recover above $120,000.
It is worth noting that the major moving averages have settled at a level significantly lower than the price of Bitcoin on the eight-hour chart, confirming a medium-term upward trend. In the event of a reversal, the (EMA) for the 50-period at $116,462, the 100-period exponential moving average at $113,382, and the 200-period exponential moving average at $109,013 may serve as temporary support levels.
However, traders should pay attention to the short-term sell signal supported by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) since July 15. If the signal continues with the blue MACD line remaining below the red signal line while the indicator generally trends downward, the price of Bitcoin may decline further as investors reduce their exposure.