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Polymarket data: The probability of Trump removing Powell by the end of August is 21%.
Gate News bot message, Polymarket prediction market shows that the possibility of Trump attempting to fire Fed Chairman Powell before the end of August has risen to 21%.
At the same time, the platform's data also shows that the probability of Powell leaving his position as Fed chairman this year is also 21%.
It is worth noting that Trump had previously denied drafting a letter to fire Powell. These data reflect the market's expectations for potential changes in the leadership of U.S. financial policy.